The Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins are set to face off in a highly anticipated NFL game — and not on American soil. This matchup takes place at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, marking a unique chapter in NFL history.
Why This Game Matters
Both teams enter the game with identical 3–7 records. The stakes are high: a win means momentum before the bye week. For Washington, the trip to Europe is more than just a visit — it is a chance to reset. The Commanders are coming off a rough stretch and hope to turn things around.
Commanders’ Challenges
The Commanders are thin at key positions due to injuries. Their starting quarterback, Jayden Daniels, is out with an elbow injury. In his place, Marcus Mariota will take snaps — a change that could impact rhythm and execution.
Meanwhile, Washington’s defense has struggled deep and early. ESPN’s preview showed that the team ranks near the bottom in pass defense. To win, the Commanders must prevent explosive plays. One big threat is De’Von Achane, Miami’s speedy running back.
Veteran Bobby Wagner remains a key player for Washington. At 35, he continues to lead with tenacity. His presence in the middle of the field could help stabilize things.
Dolphins’ Strengths
The Dolphins, too, are 3–7. Yet, they carry momentum from a recent win. Their offense is dangerous when balanced. Analysts on Covers.com back Miami -2.5, citing their ability to execute in both the running and passing game.
Jaylen Waddle remains a deep threat, capable of breaking a game with one play. Predictions suggest he could be a key factor in this matchup. On the ground, Achane is expected to be a workhorse. His explosiveness can stress the Commanders’ front.
Defensively, Miami has shown solid pass coverage. Their secondary could make life difficult for Mariota. If they force Washington into bad third downs, the Dolphins could dominate field position.
Key Factors to Watch
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Explosive Play Control
Washington must limit big plays, especially from Achane. A single broken run or quick pass could tilt the game. -
Quarterback Performance
Mariota’s mobility and decision-making will matter. If he makes quick reads and avoids big mistakes, the Commanders can stay competitive. -
Turnover Battle
Both teams have struggled with giveaways. Turning the ball over less could decide this one. -
Defense Adjustments
Under Dan Quinn, the Commanders’ defensive play-calling has changed recently. His shift could bring more pressure or change coverage strategy.
Prediction & Outlook
Analysts are leaning toward a tight game. Simulation-based models put the Dolphins’ win probability at about 58%. A projected final score sits around 24–22 in favor of Miami.
It likely will not be a high-scoring affair. Squawka’s analysis argues for the under on total points, pointing to strong defensive pressure on both sides.
Commanders vs. Dolphins
This is not just another regular-season game. Commanders vs. Dolphins in Madrid is an opportunity — a stage for teams to prove themselves in a foreign pitch. The Commanders want to stop the bleeding and build momentum. The Dolphins want to seize control of their season. Whoever wins could gain a vital boost.